We will continue to keep rain chances through the work week and into next weekend, but the confidence in widespread rain starts to drop after Wednesday. 18 and other light showers, Austins rainfall total for August to date is 4.86 inches, about 2.24 inches more than normal. The American (GFS) computer model keeps us pretty wet Wednesday-Friday, but the European (ECMWF) computer model has been signaling the heavier rain mid-late week sliding southeast of us and exiting early. There is some distinct disagreement amongst some of our better computer models regarding how much and how widespread rain will be from the middle to end of the week. Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, NEXT weekend and beyond…Īs the aforementioned “cold” front gradually pulls away, our rain and storm chances will gradually fade with it. Feet of snow, blizzard conditions, and heavy rain leading to an increased flood risk. Flash flooding poses our greatest risk overall. Check out our current live radar and weather forecasts for Austin. Damaging winds would be our greatest severe weather risk with a very low hail and tornado threat most of the week. This table gives the total precipitation that fell on Austin during each year from 2010. While our severe weather risk is relatively low, wet microbursts will be possible with some of the stronger thunderstorms. Most of the gauges have no public access. Heavy rain: Ways to prepare Severe weather Hydromet - Rainfall Summary Reports Rainfall Summary 2/28/23 1:10 AM LCRA - Rainfall Summary Units in inches - This information comes from LCRA's network of remote gauges. The American model (GFS) has consistently pointed toward several inches of rain across the entire area, but the numbers have trended down over the past couple of days, generally 2-4 inches. Department of Agriculture (USDA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The European computer model (ECMWF) (both deterministic and ensembles) has been trending lower with rainfall amounts, generally 1-3 inches. Drought information provided by the National Drought Mitigation Center (NDMC), the U.S. There is still some disagreement among our computer models regarding rainfall amounts. Navigate LCRAs Hydromet by: Zooming in on a. Flood Watch continues until 1pm Wednesday. The Hydromet provides near-real-time data on streamflow, river stage, rainfall totals, temperature and humidity. Heavy downpours moving slowly over the same area could produce flooding issues, especially for low-lying areas. The majority of this week’s rainfall is likely to come today and Tuesday as all the ingredients come together to produce scattered to widespread showers and storms. Tropical moisture coming from the south, plus a trough of low pressure planting itself over Texas will provide the perfect recipe for daily showers, thunderstorms and downpours. We know the median of Austin’s rainfall is 34 inches, so half of the values will reside below the 50 y axis, and the other half will reside above the 50 y axis. AUSTIN (KXAN) – A wet week is in store for Central Texas with the potential for our longest-lasting rain event since October of last year. To calculate an ECDF, we order the annual rainfall totals from least to greatest and then determine the percentages of where the data resides.
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